How positioning has evolved over time, instead of just a single current snapshot.
History summary: Speculative Net Position: latest +381.2 K contracts, average +18.4 K contracts, min -356.4 K contracts, max +414.5 K contracts (over the past 10.7 years). Retail Long %: latest 40.7 %, average 45.7 %, min 35.1 %, max 62.2 % (over the past 10.7 years). Price: latest 479.75, average 450.10, min 186.25, max 831.25 (over the past 21.8 years).
Last 2 years · Weekly
The state of real-world physical supply — exchange inventories, storage costs, scarcity.
Every source counts equally toward the live-source tally above — none of them carries more weight than another here.
This source does not apply to this asset — nothing is missing here.
This source does not apply to this asset — nothing is missing here.
This source does not apply to this asset — nothing is missing here.
This source does not apply to this asset — nothing is missing here.
This source does not apply to this asset — nothing is missing here.
This source does not apply to this asset — nothing is missing here.
This source does not apply to this asset — nothing is missing here.
neutral
range bound
Macro and derivatives factors that indirectly influence price — rates, margin, the dollar, real yields.
Cut Probability: 0% · 17 days until meeting
Data coverage
66.7%
Live sources
2/3
2/3 and 66.7% are the same measurement shown two ways: 2 of the 3 sources that apply to this asset are live. Sources that do not apply to this asset are left out of both.
Because only part of the data could be read, conviction is capped at 5.0/10.
Per-source freshness
no update date (not yet provided by the API)
expected: not yet measured (pending FRSH Phase 2)
updated 10/10/2026
expected 10/11/2026
updated 10/11/2026
expected 10/11/2026
Plain-language explanations for the specialist terms used throughout this page.
COT Report (CFTC)
A weekly report from the U.S. CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) showing whether large trader groups are net buyers or net sellers.
LBMA (London Bullion Market Association)
The London Bullion Market Association — sets benchmark prices and holds the world's most actively traded physical gold and silver.
SHFE (Shanghai Futures Exchange)
The Shanghai Futures Exchange — tracks metal inventories and pricing in China, the world's largest consuming market.
Backwardation
When the spot price is higher than futures prices — usually signals tight physical supply.
Contango
When futures prices are higher than the spot price — usually signals ample supply or high storage costs.
Managed Money
Hedge funds and professional trading funds — a trader group that tends to flip positions quickly with price trends.
Hedgers
Producers and real-world users of the commodity (e.g. mines, manufacturers) who use futures to hedge price risk, not to speculate.
Open Interest
5-day change in total futures contracts open — falling = positions being closed. Daily.
Squeeze Score
Pressure gauge: negative = longs more likely to be forced out (long squeeze).
Liquidation Zone
Price zones where leveraged positions get force-liquidated — treat as indicative, especially when flagged stale.
Money Flows
Capital flowing in or out of commodity ETFs (e.g. SLV, GLD) — net inflows typically reflect institutional investor conviction.
Conviction
How much the different positioning signals agree with each other — the more sources point the same direction, the higher the confidence in the read.
Percentile
Where the current value ranks against its own history, as a %. Note: for AGRICULTURE this is a SEASONAL comparison — it ranks only against the same point in the year across prior years (±5 calendar weeks), not against all past readings. Metals and energy rank against the last 5 years. The actual window is always stated next to the number.
Coverage
The share of tracked data sources that are currently live for this asset — the higher it is, the more trustworthy the read.
DXY ~102 — neutral range
no CFTC corn positioning reading
no backtest history yet, so it cannot be weighted
USDA corn acres -0.2M vs Ag Outlook — in line
no backtest history yet, so it cannot be weighted
Corn G/E 54% < 55% — stress, supply risk
no backtest history yet, so it cannot be weighted
no CBOT ZS/ZC ratio reading
no backtest history yet, so it cannot be weighted
ZW/ZC ratio Z -0.16 — normal range